Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.037205 0.040192 0.043327 0.046869 0.050765 0.054925 0.059713
2025-03-30 0.032145 0.036317 0.040940 0.046461 0.052902 0.060209 0.069171
2025-04-06 0.028421 0.033185 0.038678 0.045520 0.053870 0.063800 0.076610
2025-04-13 0.026380 0.031650 0.037931 0.046034 0.056310 0.069039 0.086204
2025-04-20 0.024531 0.030104 0.036931 0.046007 0.057901 0.073161 0.094559
2025-04-27 0.023272 0.029143 0.036515 0.046584 0.060183 0.078211 0.104431
2025-05-04 0.021873 0.027871 0.035567 0.046329 0.061253 0.081620 0.112232
2025-05-11 0.020694 0.026788 0.034762 0.046158 0.062354 0.085063 0.120274
2025-05-18 0.019616 0.025760 0.033945 0.045877 0.063225 0.088173 0.128003
2025-05-25 0.018714 0.024908 0.033300 0.045766 0.064287 0.091576 0.136399
2025-06-01 0.017716 0.023863 0.032315 0.045083 0.064424 0.093556 0.142661
2025-06-08 0.016750 0.022807 0.031251 0.044204 0.064181 0.094892 0.147930
2025-06-15 0.015979 0.021999 0.030508 0.043772 0.064609 0.097330 0.155298
2025-06-22 0.015272 0.021248 0.029807 0.043354 0.065019 0.099752 0.162835
2025-06-29 0.014495 0.020356 0.028851 0.042478 0.064626 0.100801 0.168012
2025-07-06 0.014132 0.020058 0.028763 0.042948 0.066434 0.105632 0.180420
2025-07-13 0.013668 0.019586 0.028384 0.042923 0.067403 0.109077 0.190560
2025-07-20 0.013371 0.019351 0.028354 0.043454 0.069331 0.114318 0.204608
2025-07-27 0.012913 0.018847 0.027878 0.043219 0.069915 0.117179 0.214243
2025-08-03 0.012502 0.018398 0.027466 0.043061 0.070614 0.120283 0.224647
2025-08-10 0.012093 0.017935 0.027010 0.042803 0.071109 0.123026 0.234550
2025-08-17 0.011741 0.017548 0.026659 0.042701 0.071872 0.126318 0.245930
2025-08-24 0.011301 0.017002 0.026024 0.042072 0.071622 0.127620 0.253093